Roulette Expected Value Calculator: Easily Calculate Your Roulette Bets EV

Vlad Mihalache
Written byVlad Mihalache
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Vlad Mihalache

Online Gambling and Crypto Casinos Specialist
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  • Accomplished content strategist and editor with over 8 years of experience in the iGaming industry;
  • Certified Cryptocurrency Expert (CCE);
  • Specializes in blackjack strategies, slots, crypto casinos, and gambling addiction;
  • Bitcoin casino expert with extensive knowledge of crypto trading and blockchain gaming;
  • Online gambling expert with 7,000+ articles written and reviewed;
  • Strong advocate for responsible gambling with complex knowledge of the latest trends;

Wondering what that bet on red actually costs you in the long run? The roulette expected value calculator reveals the mathematical reality behind every roulette bet. Unlike traditional calculators that just show what you might win, this tool shows what you'll lose over time - giving you a clear picture of the casino's edge and helping you make smarter betting decisions.

Roulette Expected Value Calculator
roulette layout

Bet summary

Understanding Expected Value in Roulette

The expected value (EV) isn't just a boring mathematical concept - it's the cold, hard truth about roulette that casinos don't advertise.

Think of expected value as the average amount you'll win or lose per bet if you played the same bet thousands of times. In roulette, this number is always negative, which means that for every dollar you bet, you can expect to get less than a dollar back in the long run.

What Makes Expected Value So Fascinating?

The expected value as a percentage is simply the house edge. This means:

  • European Roulette (single zero): -2.70%
  • American Roulette (double zero): -5.26%
  • Triple Zero Roulette: -7.69%

The actual money value of this edge depends on how much you bet. For example, if you place a $100 bet on red in European roulette:

  • Your expected value is -$2.70
  • This means that, on average, you'll lose $2.70 for every $100 you bet
  • Over 100 spins betting $100 each time, you'd mathematically expect to lose around $270

What's particularly interesting is that the house edge remains the same regardless of which bet you make within the same roulette version. Whether you bet on a single number (straight-up), a dozen, or red/black, the mathematical edge for the casino stays constant:

Bet Type European Roulette EV American Roulette EV Triple 0 EV
Any bet -2.70% -5.26% -7.69%

This consistency exists because while the payouts increase for less likely bets, they increase proportionally to maintain the same house advantage. The only exception is the five-number bet in American roulette (0, 00, 1, 2, 3), which carries an even worse house edge of 7.89%.

French roulette offers a slightly better deal with its "La Partage" rule, which returns half your stake on even-money bets when the ball lands on zero. This effectively cuts the house edge in half to 1.35% for those specific bets - the best odds you'll find on any roulette table.

How to Use the Expected Value Calculator (Quick Guide)

Our tool makes it easy to visualize the mathematical cost of each bet you place. 

Here's how to start using the EV calculator:

Step 1. Select Your Roulette Version 

Choose between European (single-zero), American (double-zero), or Triple 0 roulette from the dropdown menu.

Step 2. Choose Your Chip Value (1-500)

Click on one of the colored chips displayed above the roulette table to select your betting denomination.

Step 3. Place Your Bets 

Click directly on the roulette table to place your chips, just as you would at a real casino:

  • Click on individual numbers for straight-up bets
  • Click on the line between two numbers for split bets
  • Click at the end of a row for street bets
  • Click at the intersection of four numbers for corner bets
  • Use the sections outside the number grid for outside bets (red/black, odd/even, etc.)

Step 4. Add multiple bets if desired

You can place as many different bets as you like to test complex betting strategies.

Step 5. View your bet summary

The calculator automatically shows:

  • Your overall expected value (the mathematical average loss)
  • Hit probability (combined chances of winning at least one bet)
  • Maximum possible win
  • Total amount bet

Step 6. Analyze expected value per bet

For each wager you've placed, you'll see:

  • The bet type
  • Amount wagered
  • Expected value for that specific bet
  • Potential win if successful

If you want to start over, simply click the "Clear All" button to reset the table.

Quick insight

The color-coding makes it easy to see which bets contribute most to your potential wins and which carry the highest mathematical cost. Pay close attention to the overall expected value figure - this is what the casino expects to earn from you on average when you place this combination of bets.

Why Smart Players Use the Expected Value Calculator

I've watched countless players walk away from roulette tables, wondering where their money went. 

Here's why understanding expected value gives you an edge (even when the math says you don't have one):

  1. It cuts through gambling myths: Many betting systems claim to beat the odds, but the expected value calculator reveals the mathematical impossibility of overcoming the house edge. This helps you avoid falling for strategies that don't work.
  2. It spotlights the best game version: The substantial difference between American roulette's -5.26% expected value and European/French roulette's -2.70% becomes crystal clear. This knowledge alone can significantly extend your bankroll.
  3. It enables smart bankroll decisions: By knowing your expected loss per bet, you can accurately budget for your gambling session. For example, if you plan to make 100 bets of $10 each on European roulette, you can reasonably budget for around $27 in expected losses.
  4. It identifies the worst bets: The five-number bet in American roulette stands out with its unusually high house edge of 7.89%. The calculator helps you avoid such costly wagers.
  5. It provides a reality check: Gambling should be entertainment, not an investment strategy. The expected value calculator reminds you that roulette is designed to favor the house, helping set realistic expectations.
  6. It improves your understanding of probability: Using the calculator helps demystify gambling math, making you a more informed player across all casino games.

By using the calculator before hitting the casino, you'll develop a clearer understanding of roulette's mathematical realities. While this won't help you win more often, it will help you lose less over time by making smarter game choices.

Want to explore other aspects of roulette? 

Check out our roulette payout tool to see your potential returns on winning bets. Or, if you’re daring, hop into our roulette simulator to start spinning the wheel for free!

Roulette Expected Value Calculator FAQs

Does increasing my bet size change the expected value percentage?
No, the percentage stays constant regardless of your bet size. Whether you bet $1 or $1,000, the house edge remains the same. However, the actual money value of the expected loss increases proportionally with your bet.
Can any betting system overcome the negative expected value?
No, there is no betting system that can overcome the built-in house edge. Systems like the Martingale (doubling after losses) may change the distribution of outcomes but cannot alter the fundamental mathematics behind the game.
How does expected value relate to what I'll actually win or lose?
Expected value is a long-term average. Your results will vary widely in the short term due to luck and variance. However, the more you play, the closer your results reach the mathematical expectation.
How is expected value different from the odds?
The roulette odds calculator shows your probability of winning, while the expected value calculator factors in both the probability of winning and the amount you'll win or lose to give you the average outcome per bet

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Roulette Q&As

bodyheadeyesmouth
Dooby79Copiedthreadicon-check-whiteLevel 6
In roulette, what's a betting strategy you use when low on funds?

Trying to turn $0.40 into $40.00, any advice?

Thanks!

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Tnasty937Copiedthreadicon-check-whiteLevel 3United States
What is the best roulette game in your opinion ?

No problem, just asking for some advice as to what game should I play.

qna-followers5 Need Answerqna-answers3 Answers
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TeBone13Copiedthreadicon-check-whiteLevel 4
Are there roulette games to play for coins?
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Vlad Mihalache

Vlad Mihalache

Online Gambling and Crypto Casinos Specialist

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About Vlad Mihalache

  • Accomplished content strategist and editor with over 8 years of experience in the iGaming industry;
  • Certified Cryptocurrency Expert (CCE);
  • Specializes in blackjack strategies, slots, crypto casinos, and gambling addiction;
  • Bitcoin casino expert with extensive knowledge of crypto trading and blockchain gaming;
  • Online gambling expert with 7,000+ articles written and reviewed;
  • Strong advocate for responsible gambling with complex knowledge of the latest trends;
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