The D’Alembert Roulette System Explained: Tips for Consistent Play

Peter Nairn
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Peter Nairn

Casino Operations Specialist
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  • Over 3 decades of experience in casino operations management, with a focus on Table Games and Slots;
  • Senior executive positions in both Native American and traditional casino markets for companies like Harrah’s New Orleans and Minnesota-based Grand Casinos;
  • Hands-on experience as trainer and dealer of multiple casino games including: Blackjack, Roulette, Craps, and more;
  • Profound knowledge of Title 31 regulations, State compacts, and Federal MICS.
Carol Zafiriadi
Reviewed byCarol Zafiriadi
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Carol Zafiriadi

Senior Content Writer
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  • Specialised in video poker, table games, RNG, land-based casinos, and promoting responsible gambling;
  • Over 6 years of experience in presenting and analyzing the latest trends and innovations in the world of gaming and tech;
  • BA in English and German Language and Literature and MA in Literary Translation, both from the University of Bucharest, resulting in sharpened critical thinking and quality iGaming content.
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icon-thumb-up100%icon-clock-grey13 min
icon-calendarUpdated on Dec 9, 2024

Jean-Baptiste le Rond D’Alembert was a French mathematician who was something of a Renaissance man.  He studied science, Latin, mathematics and music during the mid- to late 1700s. 

While he certainly won ‘the best name for a French mathematician’ award, the system named after him, the D’Alembert Roulette System, is now seen as being based on a fallacy.

He believed in the Gambler’s Fallacy. 

Essentially, he believed that if there are 10 spins of Red in a row, over time there will be 10 spins of Black to ‘even it up’.  We now know that is false and that the odds of Black or Red (or any other outcome on roulette) do not change based on what has come before.

Independent events do not affect the outcome of future events.

The D'Alembert system, sometimes written as the dalembert system, is a negative progressive system that he set up to reflect his belief that if you lose, you should increase your bet as you’re more likely to win going forward.

His theory has been debunked but, in his time, he was a highly respected figure and his theory was well-regarded.

Once you have read through this article, you will know what the D’Alembert system is, how it works, how to bet it and when it might work for you.

What is the D’Alembert System?

The D’Alembert roulette system is a low-risk betting strategy where you increase your bet by one unit after a loss and decrease it by one unit after a win. It aims to balance losses and wins over time, reducing risk compared to other systems like Martingale.

How the D'Alembert System Works

The D’Alembert Betting Strategy is a simple system to understand and to follow.  It can be used on even money roulette bets like Red/Black, High/Low and Odd/Even.  

In this article, we’re going to look at two different philosophies. 

The first is if you start with a two-unit bet of $10.  Then we’ll look at what happens if you start with the lowest amount, the one-unit $5 bet.

The reason we’re going to start with a two-unit bet of $10 is if you start with a $5 bet and your first spin wins, you cannot reduce your bet because you’re already at your lowest amount.

Here’s how to bet it

  • Your unit amount is $5, and you’re starting with a two-unit $10 bet.
  • If your $10 bet wins, reduce your bet by $5 to $5, and if it continues to win, continue to    bet $5.
  • If your $10 bet loses, increase your bet by one unit to $15.
  • And if that loses, increase your bet again by one unit, to $20.
  • If that loses, increase your bet again by one unit, to $25.
  • If that wins, reduce your bet by $5 to $20.
  • And if that wins, reduce your bet by $5 to $15 and so on.

As you can see, the D’Alembert works very well for even money bets like Red and Black on Roulette. 
(As a sidebar, it also works great on other even money bets like the Player or Banker bet in Baccarat, or the Pass Line or Don’t Pass Line in Craps).

Here are two tables of the results of 12 spins from a free roulette game I found online. 

I started with a two-unit bet of $10. 

I increased or decreased my bet by one unit ($5) after each spin.

Here's the system in action starting with a $10 bet on Red.

Amount Bet on Red Result of Spin Win or Loss Amount Won or Lost Total of Win (or Loss)
$10 5 Red Win $10 $10
$5 23 Red Win $5 $15
$5 10 Black Loss -$5 $10
$10 32 Red Win $10 $20
$5 22 Black Loss -$5 $15
$10 22 Black Loss -$10 $5
$5 25 Red Win $15 $20
$10 9 Red Win $10 $30
$5 16 Red Win $5 $35
$5 3 Red Win $5 $40
$5 10 Black Loss -$5 $35
$10 12 Red Win $10 $45

And here's the system in action starting with a $10 bet on Black.

Amount Bet on Black Result of Spin Win or Loss Amount Won or Lost Total of Win (or Loss)
$10 5 Red Loss -$10 -$10
$15 23 Red Loss -$15 -$25
$20 10 Black Win -$20 -$5
$15 32 Red Loss -$15 -$20
$20 22 Black Win $20 Even
$15 22 Black Win $15 $15
$10 25 Red Loss -$10 $5
$15 9 Red Loss -$15 -$10
$20 16 Red Loss -$20 -$30
$25 3 Red Loss -$25 -$55
$30 10 Black Win $30 -$25
$25 12 Red Loss -$25 -$50

As you can see, the outcomes were significantly different depending on the number of wins or losses incurred.

The Bet on Red Table had 8 wins out of 12 and a total win of $45.

The Bet on Black Table had 8 losses out of 12 and a total loss of $50, for a $95 total variance between the two.

What is interesting to note is that the system becomes less volatile if you start with a $5 bet, versus the $10 bet.  

It doesn’t seem like there would be much difference, does it?

The two tables below show you how the numbers change based on starting with a $5 bet instead of a $10 bet. 

Here's the system in action starting with a $5 bet on Red.

Amount Bet on Red Result of Spin Win or Loss Amount Won or Lost Total of Win (or Loss)
$5 5 Red Win $5 $5
$5 23 Red Win $5 $10
$5 10 Black Loss -$5 $5
$10 32 Red Win $10 $15
$5 22 Black Loss -$5 $10
$10 22 Black Loss -$10 Even
$15 25 Red Win $15 $15
$10 9 Red Win $10 $25
$5 16 Red Win $5 $30
$5 3 Red Win $5 $35
$5 10 Black Loss -$5 $30
$10 12 Red Win $10 $40

And here's the system in action starting with a $5 bet on Black.

Amount Bet on Black Result of Spin Win or Loss Amount Won or Lost Total of Win (or Loss)
$5 5 Red Loss -$5 -$5
$10 23 Red Loss -$10 -$15
$15 10 Black Win $15 Even
$10 32 Red Loss -$10 -$10
$15 22 Black Win $15 $5
$10 22 Black Win $10 $15
$5 25 Red Loss -$5 $10
$10 9 Red Loss -$10 Even
$15 16 Red Loss -$15 -$
$20 3 Red Loss -$20 -$
$25 10 Black Win $25 -$
$20 12 Red Loss -$20 -$

The Bet on Red Table had 8 wins and a total win of $40.

The Bet on Black Table had 8 losses and a total loss of $30, for a $70 total variance between the two.

Reverse D'Alembert Strategy

The Reverse D’Alembert is a simple system to understand in that you do the exact opposite of the D’Alembert System. 

You increase your bet by one unit if you win, and you decrease your bet by one unit if you lose.

It’s a positive progression, so you’re playing for a winning streak. 

It’s not as volatile as the Reverse Martingale (also called the Paroli System) and has less risk than the Reverse Martingale. 

Essentially, it becomes like a Paroli Light – you’re betting the winnings back but not all of the winnings, so you’re riding the winning streak, but still taking some profit along the way.

Advantages and Disadvantages of the D’Alembert System

The advantages of the D’Alembert system are that it is a low-risk, easy-to-implement system that is also easy to understand and execute. 

While it is based on the fallacy that the roulette wheel wants to come up red after a few black spins in a row (it doesn’t), the system requires that you reduce your bet by one unit if you win and increase it by one unit if you lose.

The main disadvantages of the D’Alembert betting strategy are that it can lead to significant losses if you run into a long losing streak.  

Even though you are only increasing your bet by one unit, with a 7 or 8 spin losing streak, your bet can get to $35 or $40.  

And the cumulative effect of that is that you may lose $150+ by the end of the streak.

The other disadvantage is that once you get to a $40 bet and hit a winner, you only win $40.  Which means you are still losing $100+ after your losing streak. So the system doesn’t allow you to catch up quickly like the Martingale, for example.

Best Situations to Use D'Alembert

The best time to use the D’Alembert is if you want to play for a long time, have a smaller bankroll, and want to play a low-risk strategy with the opportunity for some small wins. 

You will probably be able to build up some comp value along the way, but you won’t have much opportunity to hit a big winner because you’re reducing your bet as you win.

It is a conservative system, but you may be able to hit a few winners and build them up into enough to cash out a small win.

The D’Alembert is not the best system to play if you’re looking to hit a home run winner. 

It is a conservative system and is designed to be low risk, so the opportunity to win big isn’t built into this system.

Managing Your Bankroll with D'Alembert

Bankroll Management is one of the most important parts of being a successful player of any casino game. 

Having a separate bankroll for gambling is critical, and it needs to be kept totally separate from your ‘real life’ bankroll.

Your real-life bankroll has your paycheck going into it, and your rent and car payment and food budget etc coming out of it.

The gambling bankroll needs to be kept in two parts.  One is ‘today’s session’ bankroll, and the other is ‘lifetime bankroll’.

Your session bankroll should be 100 times your unit bet. So with a $5 unit, your ‘today’s session’ bankroll should be $500.  However . . .

How to Set Betting Limits and Unit Sizes

Because you are playing roulette and using the D’Alembert system, your bankroll can be reduced to $300 or so. 

The reason is because the D’Alembert is a very conservative system, and you are certainly going to experience some small wins along the way.

If you were playing blackjack, or craps, I would suggest the $500.  But because it’s roulette and the D’Alembert, you can reduce it to $300. 

The way you decide on how much your unit size is, and how much to bet is like this:

How long would you like to play?  On a moderately busy roulette game, a solid dealer will deal between 30 and 40 spins an hour. 

If you want to play for two hours, you need to have enough to make 80 bets.  Allowing for a few small wins, let’s say $50, that means you need to have enough to bet 80 x $5, minus $50, which is $350.

$350 is a very conservative number, so your $300 bankroll is going to be enough to play for two hours.

Please go here and read my article on Bankroll Management. It’s specifically written for blackjack, but the main points translate perfectly to roulette.

Comparing D'Alembert with Other Systems

The D’Alembert System is a more conservative betting system than the Martingale, and the Martingale is quite high-risk. 

The D’Alembert is much less volatile than the Martingale system, because the Martingale requires that you double your bet with a loss, until you finally win. 

When you do so, you win back all your losses, recouping them all at once. 

The Martingale can also get you into deep water quickly, and you may find yourself with a very large bet to win only a small amount. 

You may also run into the table maximum before you hit the winning bet that returns all your losses to you.

The LaBouchere System

This system requires that you decide how much you would like to win and divide that amount into a sequence. 

For example

Let’s say you want to win $100.  You divide the $100 into a sequence such as 10-20-15-10-15-10-20. 

  • Add the first and last number of the sequence, in this case $10+$20, and bet the sum. 
  • Your bet is $30.
  • If you win, you cross off those two numbers and repeat the exercise.
  • If you lose, you add the amount you lost to the end of your sequence and start again. 

In that case, you would add 30 to the end of the sequence, and your next bet becomes $10+$30, which is $40. 

The Fibonacci Sequence

This is a well-known sequence of numbers that often appears in nature. 

The sequence is

1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89 and so on. 

The numbers come from adding the previous two numbers together and adding the sum to the sequence.

You start with one unit, and you bet through the sequence if you continue to lose. 

If you win, you go back two numbers in the sequence and start again from there. 

You can read my other guide to find out more about these betting systems (and others) that you may find of value.   

Realistic Expectations and Limitations

Let’s talk about probabilities and how Jean-Baptiste thought about them. 

At first glance, it seems to be logical that there should be an equal number of red and black outcomes on a roulette game.  And that’s what he thought, too.

Except that the roulette wheel and ball are inanimate objects.  Neither has any recollection of what happened last spin.  Or the spin before that.  Or ten spins ago.  Or fifty spins ago.

Which means that if we have ten black spins in a row, the odds of red coming up next are exactly the same as before any other spin.

No matter how many black spins have shown up in a row, the odds of red (or black) coming up next are unchanged. 

So even though Jean-Baptiste was a bright, well-educated guy, he didn’t understand that the odds of black coming up don’t change if red has hit 6 times in a row.

Because those events are unrelated.

Which makes his system incorrect, based as it is on the ‘eventually we would have the same number of black and red spins’. It simply doesn’t work that way.

And that means that it’s not a very good system to play because it’s based on a flawed premise.

Understanding the Statistical Odds and House Edge

There are 37 numbers on a European roulette wheel (1 – 36 and a single zero), and 38 on an American wheel (1 – 36 and single and double zero).

The House Advantage on a European wheel is 2.7%, and on an American wheel it’s 5.26%, almost double. 

So it makes sense that you should always try to play on a European wheel, doesn’t it?

And if you add in the ‘La Partage’ or ‘En Prison’ rule, it drops the HA on the even money bets like Red and Black to 1.35%. 

These two rules are only available on a European wheel and when zero hits, they give 50% of a losing bet on Red/Black, High/Low or Odd/Even back to the player.

Final Thoughts & Best Practices

Never mix your ‘real life’ bankroll and your gambling bankroll.  It’s a recipe for disaster.

If you’re looking to play roulette with a low-risk conservative system, to pass the time and perhaps generate some decent comp value, then the D’Alembert might be exactly the system you are looking for.

Always try to find a European wheel that has the La Partage or En Prison rules in place and play there, not on the American wheel.  It’s definitely worth the effort to do so.

Always have an amount you’re willing to win when you go to the casino or login online, and when you get there, cash out and walk away.

D'Alembert Roulette System FAQs

The D’Alembert is similar to the Martingale but uses lower amounts as you increase or decrease your bets. Which is better?
Both systems are negative progressive, and that’s about where the similarity ends.  The Martingale requires a huge bankroll to be effective because you’re doubling your bet every time you lose and can get in very deep water very quickly.  You also run the risk of running into the table maximum with the Martingale, which is a risk that is almost non-existent when using the D’Alembert.
I use my Player’s Club card every time I play. My buddy says I’m crazy, and the casino manipulates the games so that I can’t win a lot. Is he right?
Ah yes, the Player’s Card conundrum.  The short answer is no, the casino does not manipulate the game to limit how much you can win.  It simply doesn’t make any sense for them to do that.  Even if they could (which they can’t), they wouldn’t.  Here’s why.  There are two major casino companies that between them own about half the casinos on the Las Vegas Strip.  And a whole bunch more, worldwide. These are publicly traded companies, and between them they make approximately $10 billion profit a year.  That’s billion, with a ‘B’.  Why on earth would they risk losing their gaming license (and with it, their share of $10 billion) so they can make sure you don’t win a few hundred?  It doesn’t make any sense, does it.
Is the D’Alembert system a good one to follow? What do people gain by using it?
The D’Alembert system is a solid, conservative system that can be used to bet on any even money casino game such as roulette, baccarat, some craps bets, and I’ve even seen it used by sports bettors.  Having said that, using it on sports betting can get quite complicated, so I wouldn’t go there. Like all systems, it cannot overcome the casino’s House Advantage, and the initial premise of the creator has been seen to be false and is known as the Gambler’s Fallacy.  The system can be effective in the short term for chasing losses, and it can also generate some small wins.
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Peter Nairn

Peter Nairn

Casino Operations Specialist

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About Peter Nairn

  • Over 3 decades of experience in casino operations management, with a focus on Table Games and Slots;
  • Senior executive positions in both Native American and traditional casino markets for companies like Harrah’s New Orleans and Minnesota-based Grand Casinos;
  • Hands-on experience as trainer and dealer of multiple casino games including: Blackjack, Roulette, Craps, and more;
  • Profound knowledge of Title 31 regulations, State compacts, and Federal MICS.
Read Full Bio
Carol Zafiriadi

Carol Zafiriadi

Senior Content Writer

  • Linkedin icon
  • Goodreads icon
  • Email icon

About Carol Zafiriadi

  • Specialised in video poker, table games, RNG, land-based casinos, and promoting responsible gambling;
  • Over 6 years of experience in presenting and analyzing the latest trends and innovations in the world of gaming and tech;
  • BA in English and German Language and Literature and MA in Literary Translation, both from the University of Bucharest, resulting in sharpened critical thinking and quality iGaming content.
Read Full Bio
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